Tuesday, November 06, 2007

Mahler vs Master O'Reilly

Too Young vs Too Long

Its Melbourne Cup again. Since my massive praises for Curlin about a year ago, the horse has gone on and should easily win Horse of The Year 2007 in the US. Having looked at this year's Melbourne Cup, it lacks stars, its an ordinary cup, which automatically puts the top 5 weighted horses out of the race. It will be a win because of handicapping.

My selections: the 3-year old Mahler (right) who have just been beating maiden class in the UK before winning the Ascot convincingly and looks to be the best weighted horse, has speed and will be well placed, has strong grinding quality towards the end. Hard to go past Master O'Reilly (left) as the winner of Caulfield Cup and a bunch of other recent races, sweeps from the back very well and the long track at Flemington will suit. The other maybe is Zipping, which nearly got Danny Nikolic suspended in the Mackinnon last week (not trying hard enough to win). Zipping could be the omen tip because when bad things happen throughout the year, a victory in the Melbourne Cup would be a nice resurgence from adversity - Danny Nikolic had been treated badly in HK this year, given dud rides and getting blamed when horses did not win.
Well, Mahler's supposedly too young. Master O'Reilly is untried at 3200m. Zipping looks to be not trying too hard last win so as to not over-stretch the horse ahead of the Cup race. Hmmm!

6 Efficient $22.60$7.40
12 Purple Moon

24 Mahler

9 Zipping


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