Sarawak was supposed to be a fixed deposit for BN. Sarawak was going to be a major test case of whether the opposition are going to be effective and start a wave. Mind you, the last elections saw 51% of the popular vote going to the opposition already.
The article below studied the percentage gains by race by the opposition. That is very telling as to whether opposition has made strong inroads. We know the BN machinery is very formidable and unfair gerrymandering makes it doubly hard for actual seats to be won. More seats were won by opposition, that is point number one. The second point, is more telling: the effective gains by percentage by race to the opposition.
Orang Ulu +20.5%
So, in effect as most Chinese were already voting opposition previously, the gains were smallest. What is significant are the gains or swings by the other races. If Sarawak can see such swings, I think BN can only shudder at what will happen in Sabah and West Malaysia, with them having better access to the internet and other forms of communications. Sometimes, when you can smell smoke, you will act ... when people are just shouting fire, you probably say nah ... Same reasoning that when a state team or Malaysia national team manages to get to the finals of a tournament, suddenly the nonchalant bystanding public will turn to being vociferous fans, why, cause they can smell the smoke, or rather this time, something is burning. Thus, having a GE this year is tantamount to suicide for BN. I expect BN to implement a lot of "strategies" and try a lot of things to try to overcome the "unfavourable perception" by those who voted for opposition.
|The myths of S'wak polls results|
Tuesday, April 19 @ 07:48:25 CDT